Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.003138 0.003445 0.003774 0.004150 0.004571 0.005027 0.005561
2026-01-25 0.002586 0.003011 0.003497 0.004094 0.004814 0.005657 0.006726
2026-02-01 0.002294 0.002779 0.003359 0.004109 0.005060 0.006237 0.007819
2026-02-08 0.002055 0.002567 0.003203 0.004057 0.005187 0.006650 0.008713
2026-02-15 0.001853 0.002376 0.003044 0.003971 0.005243 0.006953 0.009471
2026-02-22 0.001728 0.002267 0.002976 0.003990 0.005429 0.007433 0.010505
2026-03-01 0.001652 0.002216 0.002976 0.004095 0.005733 0.008097 0.011865
2026-03-08 0.001531 0.002091 0.002863 0.004027 0.005778 0.008380 0.012670
2026-03-15 0.001423 0.001976 0.002753 0.003950 0.005797 0.008619 0.013423
2026-03-22 0.001342 0.001893 0.002682 0.003925 0.005889 0.008972 0.014388
2026-03-29 0.001287 0.001845 0.002658 0.003966 0.006084 0.009500 0.015696
2026-04-05 0.001212 0.001760 0.002573 0.003905 0.006107 0.009747 0.016536
2026-04-12 0.001144 0.001686 0.002503 0.003867 0.006176 0.010091 0.017626
2026-04-19 0.001078 0.001610 0.002426 0.003816 0.006219 0.010398 0.018690
2026-04-26 0.001033 0.001564 0.002392 0.003829 0.006372 0.010912 0.020209
2026-05-03 0.000979 0.001499 0.002325 0.003781 0.006411 0.011220 0.021354
2026-05-10 0.000922 0.001429 0.002243 0.003702 0.006387 0.011402 0.022261
2026-05-17 0.000889 0.001395 0.002218 0.003720 0.006540 0.011939 0.023981
2026-05-24 0.000873 0.001386 0.002237 0.003817 0.006850 0.012810 0.026550
2026-05-31 0.000830 0.001331 0.002171 0.003754 0.006846 0.013047 0.027716
2026-06-07 0.000788 0.001276 0.002103 0.003683 0.006819 0.013234 0.028788
2026-06-14 0.000758 0.001238 0.002062 0.003660 0.006886 0.013623 0.030396
2026-06-21 0.000738 0.001219 0.002054 0.003698 0.007080 0.014303 0.032821